Plan

Context

H4 retains the downward wave from the September high. The recent recovery remains within that correction; the broader rising context is a risk to the scenario.

RBA communication and Australian employment on 24 September are key events.

AUD/USD: weekly plan · H1Expand chart

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Plan conditions

Confirmation: A new H1 entirely after publication: test of resistance at 0.71290–0.71400 and the same candle closes below 0.71280.

A return to resistance is a condition of this scenario. After confirmation, we consider Target 1 and Target 2.

Invalidation: H4 close above 0.71880.

Research method

Result

Plan dated 21 Sep 2026

Both targets reached.

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice