Context
W1–H4: a downward structure remains after the 2025 peak.
Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice
Plan conditions
Confirmation: a bearish reversal on H1 in the 78,300–79,000 area and a close below 77,700.
Scenario: sell after a corrective recovery. Targets: 76,350.00–76,750.00 → 74,800.00–75,300.00.
Invalidation: H4 close above 80,500.00.
Result
Target 1 reached; the scenario was subsequently invalidated.
Price touched the Target 1 area before the working area was tested. At that touch, the area-test condition had not yet been met.
Invalidation under the original condition was recorded on 05.11.2026, 04:00 +4 GMT at the H4 close.
| Target | Zone | Outcome | Time |
| Target 1 | 76350–76750 | Reached | 02.11.2026, 23:45 +4 GMT |
| Target 2 | 74800–75300 | Not reached | — |