Plan
Context
D1/H4 broke above the September base before correcting. Former resistance is conditional support; the recent high is an intermediate target before the older daily area.
The Fed hike may support the dollar. The SNB decision on September 24, 11:30 +4 GMT, and conference at 12:00 may change the balance; the outcome is unknown. U.S. PMI: September 23, 17:45 +4 GMT.
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Plan conditions
Confirmation: A new post-publication H1 tests support at 0.81760–0.82000 and closes above 0.82050 but below 0.82550. The scenario remains inactive until then.
Target 1 is 0.82550–0.82640; Target 2, the main weekly area, is 0.83090–0.83410. A support revisit is conditional; the long-term downtrend remains a counterweight to the recovery.
Invalidation: H4 close below 0.81520. This loses the base and structural low. Plan: September 21–25.
Result
Plan dated 21 Sep 2026
First target reached. Second target not reached.
Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice