Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

Rejection from the 1.1680–1.1710 area formed the basis of the downside scenario.

H4 shows breaks of 1.1640 and 1.1620. The bounce from 1.1578 was treated as a correction below 1.1625.

The plan allowed a return to 1.1606–1.1620. Downside confirmation required an H1 close below 1.1592.

German CPI and Dubai time remain on the original plan. The event was not independently checked and is not used here as a verified news fact.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

EUR/USD H1 plan: confirmation below 1.1592; levels 1.1578, 1.1560, 1.1545; invalidation above 1.1625.Expand chart
Plan · 31 Aug 2026.

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

ConfirmationH1 close below 1.1592
Downside levels1.1578 · 1.1560 · 1.1545
Possible return1.1606–1.1620
InvalidationH1 close above 1.1625

03 · Conditions

Continued downside

Condition

An hourly candle close below 1.1592.

After a possible return to 1.1606–1.1620: a decline to 1.1578, 1.1560 and 1.1545. These are plan reference levels, not executed order prices.

1.15781.15601.1545

An H1 close above 1.1625 invalidates the scenario.

Reference levels after invalidation

Return to upside

Condition

An H1 close above 1.1625 is a reason to reconsider the downside scenario.

Original chart reference levels: 1.1606–1.1620, 1.1640 and 1.1680–1.1710. There is no separate buying plan with targets and execution rules.

1.1606–1.16201.16401.1680–1.1710

No invalidation condition is specified for the alternative. A new scenario requires a separate dated plan.

Result

04 · Review of 7 Sep

The first target was reached; the chart does not confirm that the next two were reached.

After passing 1.1592, price reached 1.1578. The chart does not show 1.1560 or 1.1545 being reached; the market later rose above 1.1625.

EUR/USD: movement below 1.1578, followed by recovery above 1.1625.Expand chart
The market one week later · 7 Sep 2026.

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Observed
  • Price passed below 1.1592 and reached 1.1578.
What else matters
  • The chart does not show 1.1560 being reached.
  • The chart does not show 1.1545 being reached.
  • The decline was followed by recovery above 1.1625.
Limits of the conclusion
  • Movement above 1.1625 does not establish an H1 close above that level. Hourly data are required to verify it.
  • The activation sequence, actual entries, stops and profit require separate data.
Assess the entire scenario: the first target was reached, the next two remain unconfirmed, and then the market reversed.