Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

On W1/D1, price remains within a broad range after the 2025 rise. H4/H1 show a decline from the August high. Higher lows forming on M15/M5 may support a pullback to broken support.

An expected Fed rate increase supports the dollar, but the announced ECB rate increase remains a counterweight. We therefore consider a local decline inside the range.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

EUR/USD: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area1.15510–1.15580
First target1.15340
Main target1.15120–1.15200

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

A return to 1.15510–1.15580; the same H1 candle must test the area and close below 1.15510.

The plan does not activate without a return. We consider the 1.15120–1.15200 area only after an H1 close below 1.15340.

Invalidation: an H1 close above 1.15600.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

EUR/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
EUR/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

EUR/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
EUR/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice