Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

W1 retains a multiyear uptrend, but D1/H4 continue correcting after the January peak. The August recovery weakened; former H1 support became resistance. M5 stabilization near a new low allows a short bounce.

Monthly US core inflation exceeded expectations; an expected Fed rate increase may limit gold's recovery. However, yields are not currently confirmed, and nearby support requires waiting for the response to a bounce.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

XAU/USD: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area4303.00–4312.00
First target4280.00
Main target4240.00–4253.00

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

A return to 4 303–4 312; the same H1 candle must test the area and close below 4 303.

The plan does not activate without a return. We consider continuation to 4 240–4 253 only after an H1 close below 4 280.

Invalidation: an H1 close above 4 319.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

XAU/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
XAU/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

XAU/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
XAU/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice