Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

W1 shows a correction after the 2025 peak; D1 shows recovery from the June low. H4 holds the August range. A higher low remains on H1; the M15/M5 pullback has reached new support, but a move back above it is not yet confirmed.

The risk of Fed tightening limits recovery. Friday's inflation response was mixed; local upside therefore requires the new support to hold and confirmation before the farther target.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

BTC/USD: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area77740.00–77865.00
First target78340.00
Main target78530.00–78620.00

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

Support at 77 740–77 865 is already being tested. A new H1 candle after publication is required: a touch of the area and a close above 77 865.

The plan does not activate without an H1 return above support. The 78 530–78 620 area requires an H1 close above 78 340.

Invalidation: an H1 close below 77 540.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

BTC/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
BTC/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

BTC/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
BTC/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice