Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

W1 remains in a correction after the 2025 peak. D1/H4 show recovery from the June low and the August range. The M15/M5 pullback is already testing intraday support; the lower H1 low remains, but buyers still need to bring price back above the area.

The risk of Fed tightening restrains upside, and Friday's price spike quickly faded. We consider a limited recovery within the range; the farther target requires separate H1 confirmation.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

ETH/USD: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area2509.50–2513.50
First target2534.00
Main target2538.50–2545.00

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

Support at 2 509.50–2 513.50 is already being tested. A new H1 candle after publication is required: a touch of the area and a close above 2 513.50.

The plan does not activate without an H1 return above support. The 2 538.50–2 545 area requires an H1 close above 2 534.

Invalidation: an H1 close below 2 505.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

ETH/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
ETH/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

ETH/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
ETH/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice