Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

The broad recovery from the 2025 lows remains, but H4 is correcting September's rise. H1 continues to form lower highs; the lower timeframe has begun stabilizing near September support. We consider selling only after a failed bounce.

Weak Chinese credit data add risk for AUD, although the decline began before the release. The RBA's inflation caution remains a counterweight; tomorrow we review the plan before China's statistics.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

AUD/USD: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area0.71345–0.71375
First target0.71245
Main target0.71210–0.71230

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

A return to 0.71345–0.71375 and a close below 0.71345 by the same H1 candle that tested the area.

There is no confirmation without a return and rejection. The lower target area requires an H1 close below 0.71245.

Invalidation: an H1 close above 0.71430.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

AUD/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
AUD/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

AUD/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
AUD/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice