Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

Within the multiyear range, price remains below major previous highs. H4 is correcting the summer recovery, and H1 has passed last week's low. The decline has slowed at the new base; we await confirmation after a bounce.

An improving services index and the RBNZ rate increase support NZD, while weak Chinese credit adds opposing risk. The latest response has partly played out, so the macro background alone does not confirm further downside.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

NZD/USD: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area0.57765–0.57805
First target0.57672
Main target0.57615–0.57630

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

A return to 0.57765–0.57805 and a close below 0.57765 by the same H1 candle that tested the area.

We do not consider selling at the current base. The July target area requires an H1 close below 0.57672.

Invalidation: an H1 close above 0.57835.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

NZD/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
NZD/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

NZD/USD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
NZD/USD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice