Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

Within the broad multiyear range, H4 is recovering after the summer decline. H1 passed Friday's high and then slowed near a new high. We consider only a confirmed pullback hold because the higher-timeframe September peak remains above.

Canadian inflation is due today; its result is not yet known. The BoC held rates, and the US macro background is mixed. The pre-release plan ends after CPI: a new fact, a price response and a separate decision are required.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

USD/CAD: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area1.38810–1.38845
First target1.39015–1.39030

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

A pullback to 1.38810–1.38845 and a close above 1.38845 by the same H1 candle that tested the area.

Buying is not confirmed without a fresh hold. The target is a retest of 1.39015–1.39030.

Invalidation: an H1 close below 1.38745.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

USD/CAD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
USD/CAD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

USD/CAD · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
USD/CAD · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice