Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

The D1 recovery approached the July high within a multiyear decline. H1 broke morning support; the subsequent bounce has already met resistance. We consider a local correction only after a new test: the previous confirmation occurred before publication.

Swiss producer prices exceeded expectations; the initial response was small and reversible. The SNB decision keeps the rate at zero.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

USD/CHF: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area0.81755–0.81810
First target0.81640
Main target0.81540–0.81560

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

A new return after publication to 0.81755–0.81810 and a close below 0.81755 by the same H1 candle that tested the area.

The previous test before publication does not activate this plan. The first support is 0.81640; the lower area becomes relevant only after an H1 close below it.

Invalidation: an H1 close above 0.81895.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

USD/CHF · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
USD/CHF · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

USD/CHF · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
USD/CHF · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice