Plan

01 · Context

Decision context

W1 retains a multiyear uptrend, while D1/H4 are correcting from the July peak. H1 recovered with higher lows. The return from previous H4 highs and M5 weakness after 154.742 allow a pullback to nearby support.

The risk of Fed tightening supports the dollar. Counterweights include Bank of Japan policy and the weak persistence of Friday's response to US inflation, so continuation requires confirmation.

02 · Original version

Original chart and levels

USD/JPY: plan, H1Expand chart
Original plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Pullback area154.350–154.480
First target154.740
Main target155.030–155.220

03 · Conditions

Plan conditions

Condition

A pullback to 154.350–154.480; the same H1 candle must test the area and close above 154.480.

The plan does not activate without a new pullback. We consider the 155.030–155.220 area only after an H1 close above 154.740.

Invalidation: an H1 close below 154.240.

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

USD/JPY · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
USD/JPY · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Evening revision · 14 Sep 2026

Plan

Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026Expand chart
Evening plan · 14 Sep 2026

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice

Result

Plan 14 Sep 2026

USD/JPY · Original plan and actual price pathExpand chart
USD/JPY · Original plan and actual price path · Open full size ↗

Research scenario · For independent analysis · Not personal investment advice