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W1 and D1 remain bearish. On H4, however, price has recovered from the November low, while H1 and M15 show higher lows. From the current M15 price, we favour further recovery towards two successive resistance areas. This is a recovery within the H4 range, rather than a confirmed D1 reversal. A return below the current wave low would invalidate the primary scenario.
Open researchW1 and D1 remain in a correction. The H4 recovery from the November low stalled below October resistance. On H1, the second advance failed to exceed the 5 November high; M15 is recovering after another decline. From the current M15 price, we favour a return towards the lower support areas. The strong November recovery remains the main opposing argument.
Open researchW1 and D1 retain the decline from the autumn high; on H4, sellers have pushed price below the November range. M15, however, shows a higher low and a renewed advance after the session low. From the current price, we expect the upward correction to reach the morning resistance area and then the 8 November range. This recovery remains within the D1/H4 downtrend; an H4 close below 73,300 invalidates it.
Open researchW1 and D1 retain the decline from the 2026 highs. H4 shows a recovery after the sharp fall into the November low. H1 and M15 show higher lows, so from the current M15 price we favour further recovery towards two resistance areas. This is a corrective advance within the bearish D1 structure; a return below the November low would invalidate the primary scenario.
Open researchW1 and D1 retain a bearish structure, but H4 shows a sharp recovery from the November low. H1 and M15 show rising lows, and the latest advance remains in progress. From the current M15 price, we favour continuation of the correction towards two H4 resistance areas. This recovery runs against D1; a return below the November low would invalidate the scenario.
Open researchW1 and D1 remain in a range after large moves in both directions. The H4 recovery stopped below the October high. H1 and M15 show a decline from the latest local highs and falling lows. From the current M15 price, we favour further decline towards two support areas within the H4 range. An H4 close above its upper high would invalidate the scenario.
Open researchW1 has entered a pullback after the recovery in the first half of 2026. D1 and H4 are declining from the October highs; the H1 recovery towards 0.8210 has given way to another decline. M15 retains lower highs, favouring a move from the current price towards November support. Target 2 is calculated by shifting the full lower area down by the November H4 range height. A rise above this wave high would invalidate the scenario.
Open researchW1 remains in a broad range, while D1 recovers from the October decline. The 5–7 November H4 advance stalled near 1.4140, after which H1 and M15 show lower highs and lower lows. From the current price, we expect the pullback to continue toward two separate 6 November areas. The preceding strong upward impulse remains opposing evidence; an H4 close above 1.4140 invalidates the bearish scenario.
Open researchW1 remains in a broad range. D1 and H4 are recovering from the October lows. The latest H4 pullback ended above the late-October low, while H1 and M15 are forming higher lows again. From the current M15 price, we favour a rise towards November resistance and then the September area. A failed recovery and a return below the November low would invalidate the scenario.
Open researchW1 and D1 retain the decline after the autumn recovery; on H4, price has moved below the November range. M15 shows a higher low and renewed buying after the low near 2,080. From the current price, we expect a further upward correction toward the morning range and then the 8 November area. The first area is nearby, so reaching it would not establish a D1/H4 reversal. An H4 close below 2,070 invalidates the scenario.
Open researchW1/D1 remain broader bearish, but H1 shows a recovery from the late-October lows.
Open researchW1–H1 maintain a bearish structure after the breakdown below 4,000.
Open researchW1–H4: a downward structure remains after the 2025 peak.
Open researchThe downtrend remains in place after the October highs.
Open researchAUD/USD is testing the 0.7000 support area after a short-term decline.
Open researchGBP/USD is recovering from the late-October base while H4–H1 maintain a sequence of higher lows.
Open researchNZD/USD remains bearish on W1 and D1 following the RBNZ’s surprise rate hold at 2.75%.
Open researchThe daily and H4 structure remains bearish after the October reversal.
Open researchUSDCHF remains under bearish H4/H1 pressure after rejection near 0.8300.
Open researchUSD/JPY is testing the 158.05–158.30 area after rebounding from 156.95.
Open researchD1 and H4 remain under pressure. If support at 79179.25–80344.33 breaks, we treat it as resistance and favor a decline toward the September demand areas.
Open researchThe D1 downswing remains intact. Rejection at resistance would support a decline towards the October lows.
Open researchD1 and H4 retain a bearish structure. If current support breaks, we treat the area as resistance and favor a decline toward the August and May bases.
Open researchIf H1 closes above 0.70450, former resistance becomes support. The primary scenario is further upside toward two September supply areas.
Open researchThe decline can extend if H1 closes below 1.39683. Price remains inside the area; the breakdown is not confirmed.
Open researchIf H1 closes above 1.34189, the recovery can extend to the full September area, then the August area. Price remains inside the October range; a deeper correction is the countercase.
Open researchIf H1 closes below 156.075, the correction can extend to the full demand area, then the October 2025 base. The current intraday recovery remains the countercase.
Open researchIf H1 closes below 3941.74, the D1/H4 correction can extend to the two complete 2025 areas. The long-term W1 advance and the current rebound remain the countercase.
Open researchIf H1 closes above 0.57887, we expect October's recovery to extend. The W1/D1 decline remains the main risk; the breakout is unconfirmed.
Open researchThe D1 recovery favors an advance after H1 closes above the whole area. It becomes support after the breakout. Targets are complete June and July H4 areas; the current consolidation remains unresolved.
Open researchThe D1 decline from the September high remains relevant. After testing resistance, H1 must close below the whole area. Targets are H4 bases; the strong October recovery remains a risk.
Open researchThe September decline remains intact on D1 and H4. We consider continuation after the October range breaks down. After the break, we treat the area as resistance.
Open researchThe D1 decline keeps the downside bias. After resistance is tested, H1 must close below the entire area. H4 bases are the targets; recovery from the October low remains a risk.
Open researchThe October decline continues on D1 and H4. We consider continuation after the full current range breaks down. After the break, we treat the area as resistance.
Open researchThe H4 low of 4073.24 is above 4066.30 and price is recovering. After H1 closes above the whole area it becomes support. Targets are September areas. The D1 decline limits the bullish scenario.
Open researchH4 has moved above the October base. After H1 closes above the whole area it becomes support. Targets are September areas; the D1 decline remains a risk.
Open researchD1 and H4 extend the decline from 1.42998. After a break of the whole September area, we treat it as resistance. Targets are two separate September bases; the W1 recovery remains a risk.
Open researchThe D1 recovery remains above the September low. H1 must close above the whole October area, which then becomes support. The first target combines complete historical reactions.
Open researchD1 remains in decline. The H4 corrective highs of 6, 9 and 12 October are falling; we favour a move toward last week’s support.
Open researchThe H4 recovery from the 7 October low extended after Friday’s break above local resistance. We favour a recovery toward September’s price areas.
Open researchD1 and H4 retain the October correction. Further downside is considered only after a fresh H1 break below the complete support area. After the break, we treat the area as resistance.
Open researchD1 and H4 retain the October correction. The recovery towards resistance supports a scenario of renewed downside.
Open researchThe September decline remains intact on D1. H4 rebounds remain below the 30 September high; we favour a move towards the nearest support areas.
Open researchD1 continues to correct the September advance. The H4 morning rebound stalled at late-September resistance; an H1 confirmation would favour a move to nearby support.
Open researchThe D1/H4 decline remains intact after the September high. October rebounds remain below the 2 October H4 high; we favour tests of current support and the January 2025 demand area.
Open researchH4 remains in a range below the 24 September high. A confirmed rejection near its upper area would favour a decline.
Open researchD1 retains its recovery from the 2026 lows. After a test of H4 support, we favour a return to the two nearest resistance areas, subject to H1 confirmation.
Open researchW1 and D1 retain the September advance. A pullback to support followed by fresh H1 confirmation would favour further upside.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached. The invalidation condition was not met.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached. The invalidation condition was not met.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached. The invalidation condition was not met.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached. The invalidation condition was not met.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached. The invalidation condition was not met.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached. The invalidation condition was not met.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchInterim result: targets not reached yet.
Open researchInterim result: targets not reached yet.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchFirst target reached.
Open researchFirst target reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached.
Open researchScenario invalidated. Neither target reached.
Open researchFirst target reached. Second target not reached.
Open researchBoth targets reached.
Open researchWe consider a failed short bounce and a retest of September support.
Open researchWe expect a move back above the support being tested and a local recovery with H1 confirmation.
Open researchWe expect a move back above the support being tested and a local recovery with H1 confirmation.
Open researchWe expect a pullback to broken support and continuation of the local decline towards August support.
Open researchPrice returned to broken support; we await a new confirmation of rejection and another decline.
Open researchWe consider a short failed bounce and a return to nearby support.
Open researchWe consider a fresh hold on a pullback to broken resistance before Canadian inflation.
Open researchAfter morning support broke, we consider only a confirmed failed bounce.
Open researchWe expect a pullback to nearby support and continuation of the local recovery.
Open researchWe expect a limited bounce to broken support and continuation of the current correction.
Open researchThe market passed through 1.1628–1.1636 and rose to the upper area. It then reversed down and reached 1.1610, 1.1600 and 1.1585.
Open researchPrice returned to 4 418–4 435 and then passed all planned lower levels down to 4 340. The outcome chart also shows the subsequent bounce and another decline.
Open researchAfter passing 1.1592, price reached 1.1578. The chart does not show 1.1560 or 1.1545 being reached; the market later rose above 1.1625.
Open researchAfter passing the lower levels, price returned to 4 500 and declined again: direction matched the plan, but the week's path was more complex than the diagram.
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